Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
Expectation of strong support from the government
The ratings continue to factor in the expectation of strong government support, both on an ongoing basis and in the event of distress. This is because government is a majority shareholder in public sector banks (PSBs) and the guardian of India's financial system. While government shareholding declined to 62.93% as on June 30, 2023, from 78.55% as on September 30, 2020, after the Rs 2,000 crore qualified institutional placement (QIP) in December 2020 and Rs 2,500 crore QIP in August 2021, it still remains the majority shareholder. Stability of the banking sector is of prime importance to the government given its criticality to the economy, strong public perception of sovereign backing for PSBs and severe implications of any PSB failure in terms of political fallout, systemic stability and investor confidence. The majority ownership creates a moral obligation on the government to support PSBs, including Canara Bank.
As a part of the Indradhanush framework, the government had pledged to infuse at least Rs 70,000 crore in PSBs over fiscals 2015-2019, of which Rs 25,000 crore each was infused in fiscals 2016 and 2017. Furthermore, in October 2017, the government had outlined a recapitalisation package of Rs 2.11 lakh crore over fiscals 2018 and 2019; Canara Bank and eSyndicate Bank (erstwhile, Syndicate Bank) combined received Rs 7,704 crore and Rs 3,963 crore, respectively, in fiscals 2018 and 2019 under this package. The government allocated another Rs 70,000 crore in fiscal 2020, of which Canara Bank (combined entity) received Rs 6,571 crore. Thus, over the past fiscals, government has infused around Rs 18,238 crore into the combined entity. There has been no infusion since fiscal 2021 as the capital position of the bank improved and it raised capital from the market as well.
Networth of Rs 77,116 crore as on June 30, 2023 (Rs 73,607 crore as on March 31, 2023), is also supported by Rs 2,000 crore equity raised via QIP during fiscal 2021 and Rs 2,500 crore equity raised in fiscal 2022. CET1, Tier-I capital adequacy ratio (CAR) and overall CAR stood at 11.5%, 13.6%, and 16.2%, respectively, on June 30, 2023 (11.6%, 13.8% and 16.7%, respectively, as on March 31, 2023).
Healthy market position
Canara Bank is one of India's larger PSBs, with gross advances and deposits of Rs 8.8 lakh crore and Rs 11.9 lakh crore, respectively, as on June 30, 2023. The merger of Syndicate Bank has also strengthened the market position of Canara Bank. It had a market share of more than 6% in advances and deposits as on June 30, 2023. The bank has pan-India presence, with around 9,653 domestic branches and 10,683 automated teller machines (ATMs) across the country. It also has overseas branches at three locations. Revenue is diversified across businesses, products and geographies, thereby augmenting the strong overall market position. The bank has a robust franchise in the large and mid-sized corporate banking segments.
Weakness:
Modest, albeit improving, asset quality and earnings profile
Asset quality, with gross non-performing assets (NPAs) of 5.2% as on June 30, 2023 (5.4% as on March 31, 2023 and 7.5% as on March 31, 2022) remains modest, albeit on an improving trend. The improvement over the years is driven both by lower slippages and high write-offs. The bank witnessed very high slippages in fiscals 2019 and 2020 at Rs 27,072 crore and Rs 24,107 crore, respectively. These were primarily from its large corporate exposure to companies in vulnerable sectors, such as iron and steel, infrastructure and construction, and finance. The micro and small enterprises exposure has also experienced elevated levels of stress. There was improvement visible in fiscal 2021 with lower slippages of Rs 17,885 crore, which further reduced to Rs 12,707 crore for fiscal 2022. For fiscal 2023, slippages were at levels similar to fiscal 2022. Slippages for the first quarter of fiscal 2024 stood at Rs 3,428 crore, 13% lower than the same period previous fiscal. The bank’s asset quality has been supported by various schemes launched by the Government of India and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), such as Emergency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme, which has benefitted the micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs). The restructuring schemes have also benefitted the reported NPA metrics. Canara Bank had restructured portfolio of around 2.35% of its advances as on June 30, 2023. The bank has written off a total of Rs 63,549 crore through fiscals 2019-2023, of which Rs 12,311 crore was written off in fiscal 2023. Cumulatively, this also brought down gross NPA ratio by 431 basis points.
The traction in slippages, especially in the current challenging macro environment, will continue to be monitored. Nevertheless, with the bank’s focus on recoveries, also supported by recoveries through the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code route, gross NPAs have seen an improving trend. Gross NPAs from the corporate segment stood at around 6.4%, followed by MSMEs (9.6%), agriculture (3.5%) and retail (1.4%) as on March 31, 2023.
While earnings profile had been impacted over the last few fiscals because of high credit costs, it has improved since fiscal 2021. As against substantial losses incurred over the last couple of years (loss of Rs 5,839 crore for fiscal 2020), the bank has been reporting profits since fiscal 2021. It reported a profit after tax (PAT) of Rs 10,604 crore during fiscal 2023 (return on assets [RoA]) of 0.8%), against Rs 5,678 crore during fiscal 2022 (RoA of 0.5%). Profit during first quarter ended June 30, 2023, was Rs 3,535 crore (annualised RoA of 1.0%).
Nevertheless, earnings profile remains constrained by lower proportion of current account savings account deposits impacting net interest margin and the pre-provisioning operating profit. Furthermore, while the provisioning coverage ratio (excluding technical write-offs) increased substantially to 70.6% as on June 30, 2023 (68.9% as on March 31, 2023, and 66.5% as on March 31, 2022), it remains moderate.
Nevertheless, CRISIL Ratings will continue to monitor the traction in asset quality and its consequent impact on profitability.